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Looking for the next Welsh Cup Upset

JD Welsh-Cup

With the Fourth Round of the JD Welsh Cup only a few days away, can we expect any shock results? Only eight of the JD Welsh Premier League 'giants' survived the third round in December, so let's look at which of those are most in danger of not making the last eight.

We have four Welsh Premier clubs visiting lower league opposition this time, with the home sides hoping to spring a surprise. The weekend's action begins with one of these on Friday night, with champions and last year's beaten finalists TNS facing a tricky visit to Caernarfon Town. The Canaries dumped Barry Town United out in Round 3, but TNS will be a harder proposition.

Perhaps the other WPL clubs drawn away are more at risk: bottom club Carmarthen Town face Airbus UK, one of the front-runners in Tier 2, and Newtown go to nearby Flint. If looking for an upset, I'd be tempted to think one of these games might provide it.

Bangor City are away too, at Llanrhaeadr in Mid Wales. Two levels separate these sides and a home win would be a major surprise. Is it worth a punt? I'm tempted to say look elsewhere for your gambling fix. There are plenty of opportunities to find a new deposit bonus in the casino industry that might offer you a better prospect!

S4C have chosen Llandudno v Ruthin Town as their live game, but Iwan Williams's side are unlikely to slip up against second-tier Ruthin, whose last league match brought a 5-0 defeat at Holywell. Similarly, I can't really be confident that Porthmadog, also from the Tier 2 Huws Gray Alliance, can pull off a result at Connah's Quay, against the notoriously hard to beat Nomads.

Cardiff Met v Aberystwyth, the sole all-WPL tie, is one of the hardest Fourth Round ties to predict:

The Met will be looking to bounce back from the disappointment of their Nathaniel MG final defeat last weekend, but are still missing key players. Nev Powell's Aberystwyth side ended the league's first phase on a high, and held the Archers to a 1-1 draw on their recent league visit to Cyncoed Campus, so this tie could go either way, and might well go beyond the 90 minutes before we get a result.

However, the other south Wales tie is the most intriguing: Tier 5 Penydarren BGC, still unbeaten in all competitions this season, head to Tier 3 Pontypridd Town. We shouldn't write off the 'minnows' too easily - they've beaten opponents from the same level already in the FAW Trophy and earlier in their Welsh Cup run. It should be an absorbing - if very muddy - affair at the USW complex on Saturday!

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